senateActiveNov 3, 2026
Senate
Likely R★ Flip Potential
Thomas LaehnLvsZach WahlsD41%vsJosh TurekD46%vsJim CarlinRvsAshley HinsonR48%
📊 Limited public polling available. Recent hypothetical matchup polls show Hinson leading both Wahls and Turek, with Hinson at 48% versus Wahls at 41%, and Hinson-Turek at 46-46 (tied). Prediction market odds favor Republicans at 61.5%.— Change Research, 2026-01-31
This open seat contest could be critical for Senate control. Republicans need to hold the seat given their narrow majority, while Democrats view this as a long-shot opportunity in a red state.
Last updated: Apr 6, 2026