senateActiveNov 3, 2026
Senate
Toss-Up★ Flip Potential
Susan CollinsR42%vsDavid CostelloDvsGraham PlatnerD48.5%vsJanet MillsD45%
📊 In hypothetical general election matchups tested in March 2026, Graham Platner leads Collins by 7 points (48-41%), while Janet Mills leads by 3 points (46-43%). Polling shows high variability depending on which Democrat emerges from the June 9 primary.— Emerson College Polling, 2026-03-23
Maine is Democrats' clearest offensive pickup opportunity in 2026 and essential to retaking Senate control. As the only Republican-held seat in a Kamala Harris-won state, flipping Collins' seat is viewed as virtually necessary for Democrats to reach the 51 votes needed for majority control.
Last updated: Apr 6, 2026