senateActiveNov 3, 2026
Senate
Toss-Up★ Flip Potential
Mike RogersR44.6%vsMallory McMorrowD44.2%vsAbdul El-SayedD42.3%vsHaley StevensD45.5%
📊 Latest general election polls show competitive matchups. Emerson (Jan 2025): McMorrow leads Rogers 46-43; Stevens leads Rogers 47-42; El-Sayed ties Rogers 43-43. Glengariff (Jan 2026): Stevens leads Rogers 44-42; McMorrow trails Rogers 42.4-45.7; El-Sayed trails Rogers 41.6-48.— Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media, 2025-01-25
Michigan is one of two Democratic-held Senate seats in states Donald Trump won in 2024, making it critical for Republican flip opportunities and Democratic defense in a midterm environment favorable to the party out of power.
Last updated: Apr 6, 2026