U.S. Senate (Class 3)DNext: 2028
Catherine Cortez Masto
Lean D★ Flip Potential
Nevada is a perennial battleground state. Cortez Masto's underwater approval rating (31% approval, 42% disapproval) driven by Democratic base division suggests vulnerability in 2028. The state has become more competitive for Republicans, and her narrow 2022 victory margin (less than 1%) indicates the seat could flip if she faces a well-funded Republican opponent in 2028.
Last updated: Apr 10, 2026