Tennessee is a solidly Republican state where Democrats have not won statewide office since 2006. The 2026 gubernatorial race is rated 'Solid Republican' or 'Safe Republican' by major analysts. Trump won Tennessee by nearly 30 points in 2024, and Gov. Lee defeated his 2022 Democratic opponent by 32 points, indicating the seat will almost certainly remain Republican regardless of which GOP candidate wins the primary.
Carnita Atwater is a Memphis-based community advocate, museum president, and Democratic candidate for Tennessee governor. She previously ran for governor in 2022 and for mayor of Memphis in 2023. Atwater frames her campaign around being the 'People's Governor' with a focus on equity, transparency, and rural economic development. She is the first woman of color to run for Tennessee governor.
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