Florida special 2026

Compare candidates running in this Florida federal race. Review their positions, voting records, campaign promises, and donor information.

Jennifer Jenkins

Party: Democrat

Joshua Weil

Party: Democrat

Hector Mujica

Party: Democrat

Alexander 'Alex' Vindman

Party: Democratic

Angie Nixon

Party: Democrat

Alex Vindman

Party: Democrat

Ashley Moody

Party: Republican

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Florida Special Election

Election: Nov 3, 2026Updated: Apr 6, 2026
📊Polling+8.0 Moody
Moody leads Vindman by 8 points in most recent polling (46%-38%)
Source: Emerson College Polling2026-03-29
46%
Moody
38%
Vindman
16%
Undecided
likely rSabato

This special election will determine party control of a Senate seat in Florida, a key state that has shifted significantly toward Republicans. While currently held by the GOP with an incumbent advantage, Democratic entrance of well-funded candidate Alex Vindman prompted Sabato's Crystal Ball to downgrade the race from safe Republican to likely Republican, indicating some competitive potential if Democrats achieve strong midterm conditions.

Jennifer JenkinsD
Joshua WeilD
Hector MujicaD
Alexander 'Alex' VindmanO
Angie NixonD
Alex VindmanD
Ashley MoodyR

Summary

Jennifer Jenkins is a former Brevard County school board member, speech-language pathologist, and educator who announced her Senate candidacy in September 2025 but withdrew on January 29, 2026, to endorse Alex Vindman. Jenkins, 38, gained prominence for her 2020 victory defeating well-known Republican incumbent Tina Descovich (who later co-founded Moms for Liberty), winning in a deep red county by 10 points. She founded Educated We Stand in 2024, a national organization dedicated to supporting public education and promoting local voices in school leadership, which raised $375,000 in the 2024 cycle and won nearly 80% of races it endorsed. Her Senate campaign focused on affordability, healthcare access, and education advocacy.

Joshua Weil was an Orlando-area public school educator and Democratic candidate who announced his Senate candidacy in June 2025 but withdrew on July 31, 2025, citing health concerns. Weil, 40, taught mathematics and science in Orange and Osceola counties and rose to prominence after raising approximately $15 million in a special congressional election for Florida's 6th Congressional District in April 2025, where he lost to Republican Randy Fine by 14 percentage points. Despite the loss in a heavily Republican district, Democrats viewed his performance as stronger-than-expected. Weil withdrew from the Senate race due to recurring symptoms of Rhabdomyolysis, a rare condition affecting muscle tissue that had required hospitalization in 2021-2022.

Hector Mujica is a Venezuelan-American tech executive who left his position at Google to run for Florida's U.S. Senate seat as a Democrat but withdrew from the race on April 5, 2026, to instead run for Congress in Florida's 28th Congressional District. Mujica, 36, worked as Head of Economic Opportunity at Google.org for 13 years handling disaster response and grant distribution across the Americas. He is a first-generation American with parents who left Venezuela for Broward County and have backgrounds in faith-based community service.

Alexander Vindman is a 50-year-old retired Army Lieutenant Colonel and former National Security Council official who became a national figure during President Trump's first impeachment in 2019 as a key witness testifying about the Ukraine call. Born in Kyiv, Ukraine, Vindman came to the United States as a refugee at age three when his family fled Soviet persecution. He served 21 years in the U.S. Army, rising to the rank of Lieutenant Colonel, serving in combat roles in Iraq (where he was wounded and awarded a Purple Heart) and later as Director of European Affairs for the National Security Council. After being removed from the NSC in February 2020 following Trump's acquittal, Vindman eventually left the Army and has since worked as a national security commentator and advisor helping veterans run for office. He moved to Broward County, Florida in 2023 with his wife Rachel and their family. Vindman announced his Senate campaign on January 27, 2026, with a record-breaking $1.7 million raised in the first 24 hours.

Angela Nixon is a Democratic state representative from Florida House District 13 (Jacksonville) who announced her candidacy for U.S. Senate on January 22, 2026. She is a fifth-generation Jacksonville native, union organizer, and mother who has served in the Florida House since 2020. Nixon frames her campaign around affordability and cost-of-living issues, arguing that Florida's leadership has ignored families struggling with rising costs for groceries, healthcare, childcare, housing, and property insurance. She distinguishes herself from other Democratic candidates by emphasizing her long-term roots in Florida politics and grassroots organizing experience.

Alexander Vindman is a retired Army Lieutenant Colonel and former National Security Council official who became nationally prominent as a key witness in President Trump's first impeachment trial. He announced his candidacy for Florida's U.S. Senate seat on January 27, 2026, making him the most prominent Democrat to enter the race. Vindman is a combat veteran who served 21 years in the U.S. Army, including service in Iraq where he was wounded and awarded a Purple Heart. After leaving government, he authored books about his time in the Trump administration and worked as a senior adviser for VoteVets, a Democrat-aligned group that helps elect veterans. He currently resides in Broward County, Florida.

Ashley Moody is a Republican attorney and former Florida Attorney General (2019-2025) who was appointed by Governor Ron DeSantis to the U.S. Senate in January 2025 to replace Marco Rubio. She assumed office on January 21, 2025, and was sworn in by Vice President JD Vance alongside Ohio Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted. Moody has no announced Republican primary opposition and is heavily favored in the Republican primary. She is the incumbent senator running for the full term.

Campaign Promises

No campaign promises listed yet.

No campaign promises listed yet.

No campaign promises listed yet.

Economy
  • Fight Corruption and Cut Costs
  • Address Housing and Affordability Crisis
Justice
  • Defend Democracy and Check Executive Power
Other
  • Fix Property Insurance Crisis
Healthcare
  • Address Healthcare and Costs
Economy
  • Lower costs and raise wages
  • Take on corporate price-gouging
  • Address housing affordability crisis
Other
  • Make government work for working people, not special interests
Other
  • Crush corruption and cut costs
  • Defend democracy and check executive power
Economy
  • Fix rigged system for elites, fight for hard-working families
  • Address cost of living crisis
Other
  • Make America Great Again and support Trump administration
  • Deliver Florida-focused policies at national level
Environment
  • Environmental protection aligned with economic interests

Key Issue Positions

No key issues listed yet.

No key issues listed yet.

No key issues listed yet.

Democracy and Rule of Law
Strong defender of democratic institutions against executive overreach
Campaign centered on defending democracy and checking an 'outlaw president'; uses his impeachment testimony as evidence of commitment to rule of law
Affordability and Cost of Living
Focus on economic relief for working families
Campaign emphasizes costs for groceries, healthcare, childcare, housing, and property insurance as central issues
Immigration and Border Policy
Opposes Trump immigration crackdown and deportations
Campaign video criticizes federal immigration agents as 'thug militias'; opposes harsh enforcement
Affordability/Cost of Living
Strong focus on reducing costs for families
Central theme: 'Floridians are being crushed by an affordability crisis that Florida's leadership has ignored for far too long.' Cited rising costs for 'groceries, healthcare, and childcare' and noted 'property insurance has doubled in the last four years'
Government accountability
Opposes establishment politics
Argues establishment politicians 'aren't listening to the people' and campaigns as alternative to 'establishment politicians' like Ashley Moody. Called for 'a government that actually works for the people' not 'political insiders and special interests'
Gun violence
Gun control advocate
Campaign profile notes she 'lost her cousin to gun violence,' suggesting this will be a priority issue
Education/Democratic representation
Education equity advocate
Attended 'under-resourced schools' as a child (bused due to school segregation), highlighting education inequality as campaign theme
Democracy and Trump accountability
Strong Trump critic advocating for checks on presidential power
Vindman's campaign is built on his role in Trump's impeachment. Campaign video states: 'This president unleashed a reign of terror and retribution, not just against me and my family, but against all of us.' Calls for Trump to face accountability and urges voters to 'stand with me now to put a check on Donald Trump and the corrupt politicians who think your tax dollars are their personal piggybank'
Cost of living and affordability
Advocates for policies to reduce costs
Campaign message emphasizes 'Floridians are being crushed by high costs for gas, groceries, and housing — and they're sick and tired of the corruption by career politicians like Ashley Moody who enable all of it'
Immigration enforcement
Critical of Trump administration's approach
Campaign video criticizes immigration enforcement, describing federal agents as 'thug militias attacking citizens,' referring to recent killings during immigration enforcement in Minnesota
Healthcare
Concerned about affordability and access
Campaign video mentions 'Health care premiums through the roof' as a major problem for Floridians
Law Enforcement and Crime
Strong law enforcement advocate
Has leveraged relationships built as Attorney General to secure endorsements from State Attorneys and Sheriffs across Florida. In Senate, introduced STOP FRAUD in Medicaid Act and COP Act (likely crime-related).
Immigration
Enforcement-focused
As AG, supported lawsuits to invalidate the ACA and opposed legalization of recreational cannabis. In Senate, indicated immigration enforcement as key focus, planning to work on these issues alongside federal government.
Voting Rights
Restrictive on felons' voting rights
Opposed restoration of voting rights for former felons. After 2018 Voting Rights Restoration Initiative passed, helped push a bill through Florida Senate requiring felons to pay all court fees before restoring voting rights. In 2020, asked FBI to investigate Michael Bloomberg's effort to pay felons' court fees, claiming he potentially violated election laws.
Healthcare
ACA opponent
As Attorney General, supported lawsuits to invalidate the Affordable Care Act. In Senate, health issues represent 15% of legislative focus.
Education
School choice advocate
In early Senate term, supported policies giving parents power and input over children's education.

Top Donors

No donor data available.

No donor data available.

No donor data available.

Small Dollar Donors (Primary)
$8.2 million (Q1 2026)Small Donor
$1.7 million raised in first 24 hours (record for Florida Senate candidate in single day); 99% of online donations $100 or less; 27,600 Florida-based donors; over 36,000 total contributions in first day
National Donor Network
$6.2 million (Cash on hand, end Q1 2026)Small Donor
Tapping into small-dollar fundraising network that powered his twin brother Eugene Vindman's 2024 congressional race in Virginia (which raised $18 million, 3rd highest congressional candidate that cycle)
Grassroots/small-dollar donors
Fundraising figures not yet reported as of April 6, 2026Individual
Announced candidacy January 22, 2026, within past 2.5 months
Small-dollar donors (grassroots)
$8.2 million (Q1 2026 total)Individual
99% of Q1 contributions valued at $100 or less; 36,000+ contributions in first 24 hours
Florida Farm Bureau Federation FedPAC
Endorsement (contribution amount not specified)Industry PAC
Announced support January 23, 2026
Florida State Fraternal Order of Police
Endorsement (contribution amount not specified)Organization
Announced support October 21, 2025

Contradictions

No contradictions documented.

No contradictions documented.

No contradictions documented.

No contradictions documented.

Claim: Represents a fifth-generation Jacksonville native
Contradiction: While claiming deep local roots, has been in state house for 6 years (2020-2026) and overall political career focused on newer organizing rather than traditional political establishment
Source: Campaign biography

No contradictions documented.

Claim: Presented herself as a independent voice in Senate
Contradiction: Alignment with Trump administration is near-total; described by observers as 'largely invisible in the Senate' but consistently supporting Trump
Source: Multiple news reports noting Moody has made little ripple in Washington despite high profile, with focus on Trump administration support
Claim: Advocate for Florida's environmental interests
Contradiction: As Attorney General, supported Trump administration positions that could harm Florida's environment; letter to Trump on moratorium appears largely reactive after Trump administration threatened action
Source: News reports on Moody's AG record and recent moratorium letter

What Opponents Say

No opponent claims documented.

No opponent claims documented.

No opponent claims documented.

Republican National Committee

Vindman is a 'carpetbagger and a grifter' whose campaign is 'doomed from the start'

RNC opposition to Vindman based on his status as relative newcomer to Florida and his impeachment testimony against Trump

Ashley Moody campaign

Implied that Vindman is using military rank and impeachment fame to pursue political career without genuine Florida roots

Moody campaign has not issued extensive direct attacks but relies on her incumbent status and Republican base advantages

Ashley Moody (implicit)

Nixon was 'handed the seat' (for state house) unlike Nixon's critique that Moody was handed Senate seat

Nixon argued Moody wasn't elected to Senate and shouldn't be treated as legitimate; Moody has similar argument about her appointment

Republican National Committee/GOP

Vindman is a 'carpetbagger' and 'grifter,' transplant to Florida without real roots

GOP attack challenging Vindman's Florida residency (moved to Broward County in 2023) and motivations for running

Florida Republicans

Vindman is using his Trump testimony for political gain and has no genuine local ties

Republican framing of Vindman as national politician trying to capitalize on national fame rather than serving Florida

Alex Vindman

Moody is a 'yes' vote for Trump and billionaires, not Florida's senator but 'theirs'

Vindman's campaign theme attacking Moody as Trump loyalist prioritizing billionaire interests over Floridians

Angie Nixon

Moody caved to big insurance companies on homeowners' insurance crisis; she's a rubber stamp for DeSantis and Trump

Nixon's campaign criticizes Moody's record on property insurance affordability, central campaign issue for Democrats

Jennifer Jenkins (before endorsing Vindman)

Moody is 'dangerous' and 'just a rubber stamp for Ron DeSantis and for Donald Trump,' taking marching orders from insurance industries and special interests

Jenkins criticized Moody's career-politician status and ties to special interests before withdrawing and endorsing Vindman

Endorsements

No endorsements listed.

No endorsements listed.

No endorsements listed.

Jennifer Jenkinsindividual
State Rep. D. Adam Smith (D-FL)individual
VoteVetsorganization
Paul Eaton (former deputy chief of staff for U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command)individual

No endorsements listed.

Jennifer Jenkinsindividual
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.)individual
VoteVetsorganization
President Donald Trumpindividual
Senator Rick Scottindividual
National Republican Senatorial Committeeorganization
Republican National Committeeorganization
Florida Farm Bureau Federation FedPACorganization
Florida State Fraternal Order of Policeorganization