New York is a heavily Democratic state where Republicans have not won statewide office since 2002. While Hochul faces moderate approval ratings and voter dissatisfaction with the state's direction, the state's strong Democratic lean makes a Republican flip unlikely in 2026, though the race could be more competitive than typical for the state.
Bruce Blakeman is the Nassau County Executive and Republican nominee for New York Governor. First elected to the county post in 2019, he was re-elected in November 2025 by a double-digit margin. Blakeman announced his gubernatorial campaign in December 2025 and received President Donald Trump's endorsement on December 20, 2025. He frames himself as bringing his Nassau County leadership record—focusing on public safety, tax control, and immigration enforcement—to the statewide level.
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Blakeman is a 'bootlicker' who has lost almost every race he's touched and 'takes money out of New Yorkers' pockets'
Hochul campaign attacked Blakeman's electoral history and fiscal record
Blakeman is 'an early Christmas present to Kathy Hochul' and works to blow Republicans' best chance to win
Stefanik criticized Blakeman's entry into Republican primary as damaging to GOP chances
Blakeman is someone who 'looks at what ICE is doing and thinks it's exactly what this city needs to see.' His focus is on 'how to round up as many people as possible and send them as far away as he can'
NYC Mayor Mamdani criticized Blakeman's aggressive immigration enforcement stance